To be sure, AI adoption could come with some serious fiscal benefits for governments, including higher growth, stronger corporate and wealth tax receipts, and sharper tax administration. AI-powered digitalization could also plug compliance gaps, potentially adding up to 1.3% of GDP in revenue for countries with weak enforcement, according to Moody’s, citing IMF data.
“Whereas the job market effects of AI in 2025 were still quite ambiguous, AI capabilities have advanced rapidly in the past few months,” Anton Korinek, an economist who focuses on the economic impact of transformative AI, told Fortune. “This may be the beginning of a new trend where white-collar jobs become threatened more seriously by AI. Once a few companies start the trend, competitive forces may induce others to follow suit.”
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