Our results are organized around the three primary hypotheses and a set of exploratory analyses. First, we examine whether conversations with sycophantic agents affect people’s chances of discovering the true rule. Second, we analyze individuals’ confidence levels across conditions. Third, we test whether conversations with the default GPT increased confidence in beliefs. Additional pre-registered exploratory analyses are omitted due to space constraints. Hypotheses and analyses were pre-registered prior to data collection (AsPredicted.org/94vn2y.pdf).444We deviated from the pre-registration in two ways: (1) Instead of excluding incomplete cases entirely, we used an LLM-based extraction method to recover partial data where possible. This was done to mitigate differences in completion rates across conditions. As a result, sample sizes vary slightly across analyses of discovery rates and confidence ratings (see Footnote 2 & 3). (2) We used permutation tests instead of the pre-registered Chi-square tests for H1. This provides a more conservative test of by avoiding distributional assumptions that may be unreliable given the low discovery rates.
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My hope is that there are Mac lovers within Apple who bite their tongue at every silly icon redesign, title bar-shrinking design reorganization, misty shower window—re-skin—love letter that they are forced to enact instead of taking what was once (and partially still is) that rarest of jewels, a long-term, continuously updated, well-designed user interface and mass market operating system and iterating on it to make it better. That there are people who, in so many words, bleed six colors; who have found not just a sterile tool, but a culture and a community. And who, like so many others in so many other situations, recently had to see what they love, what they value, what shaped them, torn apart by shifting, switching or recently starkly exposed priorities of people above them who either don't know what they have, or are happy to use it as a vehicle and ride it to places they care more about.